To use the high-low method, we need to identify the highest and lowest level of activity and the corresponding production costs, and then use these values to calculate the variable cost per machine hour and the fixed cost component.
From the data provided, we can see that the highest level of machine hours occurred in October (17,100) and the lowest in December (13,700). Therefore, we will use these two months to calculate the variable and fixed costs.
Variable costs = (change in cost) / (change in activity) = ($12,240 - $9,970) / (17,100 - 13,700) = $770 / 3,400 = $0.226 per machine hour
Fixed costs = Total production cost at either the high or low activity level - (Variable cost per machine hour x high or low activity level)
Using the high activity level of 17,100 machine hours:
Fixed costs = $12,240 - ($0.226 x 17,100) = $8,732.60
Finally, to estimate the total production cost for January, we simply add the fixed and variable costs for that level of activity:
Total production cost = $0.226 x 12,200 + $8,732.60 = $11,921.20
Therefore, the estimated total production cost using the high-low method would be closest to option (d) $8,732.63.