Final answer:
The best predictor of long-term drug abuse involves a combination of factors including a history of substance use in the family, drug addiction, drug dependence, environmental influences, and personal history of abuse or neglect. Early identification and intervention are key in preventing the escalation to addiction and overdose.
Step-by-step explanation:
The best predictor of long-term drug abuse is not straightforward as multiple factors contribute to the risk. However, studies like those conducted by Molina & Pelham (2003) on children with ADHD point out certain predictors in childhood that can lead to adolescent substance abuse. Factors such as a history of drug addiction, compulsive use of psychoactive substances despite negative consequences, and the presence of drug abuse in the family environment are indicative of increased risks. Notably, conditions like drug dependence can arise from continued use and may lead to severe withdrawal symptoms and health issues. It is also important to note that environmental factors, such as child abuse, neglect, and parental issues can significantly contribute to the likelihood of future drug abuse.
To prevent the escalation to addiction and dependence, which can lead to overdosing and potentially fatal outcomes, understanding the early predictors and risk factors is paramount. This includes being aware of not only the use of illegal drugs but also the misuse of prescription or over-the-counter medicines. Education, early intervention, and rehabilitation are critical in addressing these issues and preventing long-term abuse.