Final answer:
Indirect methods to incite confrontation can result in unexpected attacks, misuse of peace efforts for war, and reinforce hostile dispositions, leading to cycles of antagonism and potential violence over democratic processes.
Step-by-step explanation:
According to Vaughan, an initiator's use of indirect methods to incite confrontation is problematic because it can lead to unexpected attacks and breakdowns in peace negotiations. This approach creates an environment where countries could be attacked without warning, making peaceful resolutions difficult as they might be used as a pretext for starting another war. Moreover, indirect confrontational tactics contribute to a lack of clear communication and understanding between parties, escalating tensions and potentially leading to ruin if individuals or groups act out of resentment or hostility without cohesive strategy or leadership. As illustrated in the transactional model of hostility, such a hostile disposition can foster a cycle of antagonism, reinforcing and intensifying conflict. Furthermore, in political and societal contexts, these indirect tactics can contribute to an environment where violent means may supplant democratic processes, undermining civil discourse and the rule of law.