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__________ assumes that the underlying relationships in the past will continue into the future; the method is simple but not always correct.

a. Trend extrapolation
b. Sensitivity analysis
c. Lost-horse forecasting
d. Statistical inference

User Castillo
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Final answer:

The method that assumes past relationships will continue into the future for forecasting is known as trend extrapolation. It is a straightforward approach but may not always be accurate as it doesn't consider unforeseen changes.

Step-by-step explanation:

The method that assumes the underlying relationships in the past will continue into the future is known as a. Trend extrapolation. This method is often used because of its simplicity and can provide reasonable forecasts for some situations.

It involves extending a historical data trend into the future to make predictions. However, this approach can be flawed as it does not account for potential changes in the environment or unforeseen events that may alter the underlying relationships that have been observed in the past.

For example, when considering climate change, scientists may use trend extrapolation to predict future climate patterns based on past temperature data. While these predictions can be helpful, they are based on the assumption that the factors affecting climate will remain constant, which is not always the case.

Thus, while trend extrapolation is a straightforward forecasting method, it is important to remember there is no single correct way to extrapolate far into the future, and predictions should be viewed with a certain level of skepticism.

User Frb
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