145k views
5 votes
if the estimated number of steps needed to reach 0 from n is n² what is the probability that 0 will not be reached

1 Answer

5 votes

The probability that 0 will not be reached in
n^2 steps approaches
(1)/(e) or approximately 0.3679.

If the estimated number of steps needed to reach 0 from n is
n^2 , it implies that the probability of not reaching 0 within
n^2 steps can be determined.

Let's consider the probability of not reaching 0 in a single step from a specific n to n−1. This probability is
(1- (1)/(n) ) ​because there's only one way to reach n−1 (by decrementing from n), out of n possible numbers (including 0).

Now, for n steps, the probability of not reaching 0 is


(1- (1)/(n) )^n

This can be thought of as the probability of not reaching 0 in a single step, repeated n times.

For
n^2 steps, the probability of not reaching 0 is
(1- (1)/(n) )^n^2

This probability tends to
e^(-1) (where e is the base of the natural logarithm) as n becomes large.

So, the probability that 0 will not be reached in n^2 steps approaches
(1)/(e) or approximately 0.3679.

User OniLink
by
8.0k points