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A stock has an expected rate of return of 13.9 percent and a standard deviation of 23.3 percent. Which one of the following best describes the probability that this stock will lose more than 1/3 of its value in any one year?

a. approximately 4.66%
b. less than .26%
c. approximately 1.13%
d. less than .1%
e. approximately 2.25%

User AbdullahR
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1 Answer

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Final answer:

To find the probability, calculate the z-score of a -33.3% return given a mean return of 13.9% and a standard deviation of 23.3%. Check the z-score in a standard normal distribution table to find the probability.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question asks about the probability that a stock with an expected rate of return of 13.9 percent and a standard deviation of 23.3 percent will lose more than 1/3 of its value in any one year. To answer this, we can assume a normal distribution of stock returns and use the z-score formula to find how many standard deviations away a 33.3% loss is from the expected return.

Calculating the Z-score

The z-score is calculated as (X - μ) / σ, where X is the value of interest, μ is the mean (expected return), and σ is the standard deviation. We want to find the z-score for a -33.3% return when the expected return (μ) is 13.9% and the standard deviation (σ) is 23.3%. Subtracting 33.3% from 13.9% and then dividing by the standard deviation gives us the z-score.

User Moabi
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