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What should you do if you don't believe management's projections for a DCF model?

a) Adjust the projections based on industry averages
b) Use the projections as is
c) Exclude the projections entirely
d) Seek external expert opinions

User Mihaly KR
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1 Answer

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Final answer:

Adjusting the projections in a DCF model based on industry averages or reliable data is the best approach if there's doubt in management's projections. This ensures the valuation accurately reflects the company's potential and enables more informed investment decisions.

Step-by-step explanation:

If you do not believe management's projections for a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, the best approach would be to adjust the projections based on more reliable data, such as industry averages or historical data. This could mean option (a) Adjust the projections based on industry averages.

It's crucial to use realistic projections in DCF analysis to ensure that the valuation reflects the company's true potential value. Simply accepting the projections as is (option b) without belief in their accuracy would impair the reliability of the valuation. Excluding the projections entirely (option c) is not advisable as projections are integral to the DCF model. While it might be helpful to seek external expert opinions (option d), as part of a comprehensive analysis, the projections still have to be adjusted using credible sources of data rather than outright acceptance or rejection.

Keep in mind that in finance, the ability to accurately value a company is paramount, and relying on unsubstantiated management projections could lead to an incorrect valuation, possibly resulting in poor investment decisions.

User Johv
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