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Suppose a 95% confidence interval of the mortality rate of 1918 h1n1 flu pandemic is (0.62, 0.66) based on a data set from cdc. if we use the the same data set to construct a 90% confidence interval for the mortality rate, without any calculation, which of the following confidence interval could be correct?

a. (0.623, 0.657)
b. (0.62, 0.675)
c. (0.608, 0.66)

1 Answer

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Final answer:

The correct 90% confidence interval for the mortality rate of the 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic, given the 95% confidence interval is (0.62, 0.66), is likely to be Option A (0.623, 0.657). This is because a 90% confidence interval is narrower than a 95% confidence interval.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question is asking to determine a correct 90% confidence interval for the mortality rate of the 1918 H1N1 flu pandemic using the same data set from the CDC that was used to construct a 95% confidence interval. Given the 95% confidence interval is (0.62, 0.66), and knowing that a 90% confidence interval would be narrower because it has less certainty and thus contains less of the distribution than the 95% interval, we can decide which of the proposed intervals would be plausible.

Among the provided options:

  • Option A (0.623, 0.657) is narrower than the 95% interval and symmetrically reduces the interval size, making it a likely candidate for the 90% confidence interval.
  • Option B (0.62, 0.675) is not narrower and actually extends further at the upper end than the 95% interval, therefore it cannot be the correct 90% interval.
  • Option C (0.608, 0.66) is narrower on one end but retains the upper limit of the 95% interval, making it less likely to be the correct interval but still possible.

Considering these points,

Option A is the only option that could correctly represent a 90% confidence interval given the situation.

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