Final answer:
The Earth will likely lose its atmosphere and water due to the Sun's transformation into a red giant, potentially leading to Earth's complete vaporization, although the exact fate is uncertain due to competing gravitational and tidal forces.
Step-by-step explanation:
When considering what will happen to Earth when our Sun expands into a red giant in about 4.5 billion to 5 billion years, the most likely scenario is that Earth will experience extreme environmental changes. As the Sun loses mass, its gravitational pull decreases, theoretically increasing the diameter of Earth's orbit according to Kepler's third law. However, tidal forces could lead to a reduction of Earth's orbital distance. The combined effects make it uncertain whether Earth will be completely engulfed. If Earth does avoid direct collision with the Sun's outer layers, it will still lose its atmosphere and water, making it uninhabitable. The drastic temperature increase and solar radiation will likely vaporize Earth's surface, rendering the planet devoid of life long before the potential collision.