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A company's risk management team has been analyzing a potential risk to its operations. They have identified the probability of the risk event occurring, and they wish to express this probability on a yearly basis. What is the company trying to calculate?

A.Risk threshold
B.Annualized Loss Expectancy (ALE)
C.Single Loss Expectancy (SLE)
D.Annualized Rate of Occurrence (ARO)

User Djibe
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Final answer:

The company's risk management team is calculating the Annualized Rate of Occurrence (ARO), which is the yearly probability that a given risk event will occur. The ARO is a crucial metric for risk assessment and is used in broader financial analysis, contributing to determining the financial impact of risks on operations.

Step-by-step explanation:

The company's risk management team is attempting to calculate the Annualized Rate of Occurrence (ARO), which is option D. The ARO is the yearly probability that a risk event will occur, and is a key component of risk assessment and management. This does not reflect the potential monetary loss directly, but instead indicates how often the risk might present itself over the course of a year. Calculating ARO helps organizations to anticipate and plan for potential risks, contributing to a broader analysis that may include Single Loss Expectancy (SLE) and Annualized Loss Expectancy (ALE). The SLE estimates the monetary loss each time a risk event occurs, while ALE extrapolates the potential yearly financial impact of risk events based on ARO and SLE. Neither Risk threshold (a predetermined level of acceptable risk), nor ALE, is being calculated directly in this instance.

While the concepts of expected rate of return, risk, and actual rate of return primarily apply to financial investments, they are also relevant in the context of assessing the profitability and risks of projects within a business environment. High-risk investments or projects can swing widely in actual returns compared to low-risk ones, and understanding risk in term of ARO can play a role in managing such investment outcomes.

User Poul Bak
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