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Forming good and bad decisions and judgement

A) Cognitive bias assessment
B) Decision-making evaluation
C) Judgment analysis
D) Reasoning proficiency

1 Answer

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Final answer:

A personal reflection on a decision influenced by the Gambler's fallacy shows the importance of critical reflection and metacognition in overcoming cognitive biases. Time and distance from the event have revealed the irrationality of the initial decision and underscored the need for careful thought in future decision-making.

Step-by-step explanation:

When reflecting on past decisions, I recognized that during a particular incident, I fell prey to the Gambler's fallacy. This cognitive bias led me to irrationally believe that since a certain event had not occurred for a long time, it was due to happen soon, which influenced a poor decision on my part.

With time and critical reflection, I now understand that this bias distorted my perception of randomness and probability. If I had employed metacognition at the time, analyzing my thought process and considering the true nature of chance, my response to the situation could have been more logical, possibly leading to a different and more favorable outcome.

In conclusion, this self-reflection has not only helped me to understand the pitfalls of my reasoning but also emphasized the importance of actively striving to prevent such biases in future decisions. Understanding cognitive biases and employing strategies to mitigate them, such as critical thinking and evidence-based decisions, are crucial to avoiding similar mistakes.

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