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EXPECTED RETURNS: Stock's X and Y have the following probability distributions of expected future returns:

probability X Y
.1 (10%) (35%)
.2 2 0
.4 12 20
.2 20 25
.1 38 45

a.) Calculate the expected rate of return, r^y for stock Y ( r^x= 12%)

b.) Calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, Qx, for stock X (Qy= 20.35%) Now calculate the coefficient of variation for stock Y. Is it possible that most investors will regard stock Y as being less risky than stock X?

1 Answer

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Final Answer:

a) The expected rate of return, r^y, for stock Y is 14%.

b) It is not possible that most investors will regard stock Y as being less risky than stock X.

Step-by-step explanation:

a) To calculate the expected rate of return, r^y, for stock Y, we multiply the probability of each return by the corresponding return and sum them up.

The calculations are as follows:

= (0.1 * -35%) + (0.2 * 0%) + (0.4 * 20%) + (0.2 * 25%) + (0.1 * 45%)

= -3.5% + 0% + 8% + 5% + 4.5%

= 14%

Therefore, the expected rate of return, r^y, for stock Y is 14%.

b) To calculate the standard deviation of expected returns, Qx, for stock X, we need to calculate the variance first.

The calculations are as follows:

= ((0.1 * (10% - 12%)^2) + (0.2 * (2% - 12%)^2) + (0.4 * (12% - 12%)^2) + (0.2 * (20% - 12%)^2) + (0.1 * (38% - 12%)^2))^0.5

= ((0.01 * (-2%)^2) + (0.04 * (-10%)^2) + (0.04 * (0%)^2) + (0.04 * (8%)^2) + (0.01 * (26%)^2))^0.5

= (0.0004 + 0.004 + 0 + 0.00256 + 0.00676)^0.5

= 0.01372^0.5

= 0.1171

Therefore, the standard deviation of expected returns, Qx, for stock X is 11.71%.

To calculate the coefficient of variation for stock Y, we divide the standard deviation of stock Y (Qy = 20.35%) by the expected rate of return for stock Y (r^y = 14%) and multiply by 100 to express it as a percentage.

Coefficient of variation (CV) = (Qy / r^y) * 100

CV = (20.35% / 14%) * 100

CV = 145.36

Based on the coefficient of variation, we can compare the riskiness of different stocks. If the coefficient of variation is higher, it indicates higher relative risk. In this case, stock Y has a coefficient of variation of 145.36, which is higher than the coefficient of variation for stock X. This suggests that stock Y is regarded as more risky compared to stock X.

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