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For the Monte Carlo approach, the VaR is the _____th worst simulated loss out of _________

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Final answer:

The VaR in a Monte Carlo simulation is identified at a specific percentile of worst losses, indicating the simulation's 100th worst loss out of 10,000 if evaluating at the 99th percentile.

Step-by-step explanation:

For the Monte Carlo approach, the VaR is the 100th worst simulated loss out of 10,000, if you are looking at the 99th percentile. VaR, or Value at Risk, is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within a firm, portfolio, or position over a specific time frame. This technique often involves a large number of simulations to predict losses, and the VaR is determined at a certain confidence level, typically 95% or 99%. A Monte Carlo simulation will iterate a model of the portfolio values under random conditions many times to create a distribution of potential outcomes. The 99th percentile VaR would then be the value such that 99% of the losses are expected to be above it, meaning it corresponds to the very worst losses (1% of them) in some hypothetical future period.

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