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What conditions are needed for the 'wisdom of the crowd' to work?

Option 1: Group diversity, independence, decentralization, and aggregation
Option 2: Group conformity and unity
Option 3: Singular leadership and centralized decision-making
Option 4: Large population but uniform perspectives

1 Answer

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Final answer:

The 'wisdom of the crowd' is most effective under conditions of group diversity, independence, decentralization, and aggregation. These factors help prevent groupthink and group polarization, ensuring a wide range of perspectives leading to better decisions compared to uniformity or central leadership.

Step-by-step explanation:

The conditions needed for the 'wisdom of the crowd' to work are best described by Option 1: Group diversity, independence, decentralization, and aggregation. These factors combined ensure a wide range of inputs and minimize the chances of groupthink, which can lead to poorly thought-out decisions due to the desire for conformity and harmony within a group. Group diversity promotes a variety of perspectives, independence allows for individual opinions unrestricted by the group's influence, decentralization prevents a single viewpoint from dominating, and aggregation means combining the independent opinions to arrive at a decision. These conditions oppose the other options which facilitate conformity costs and minimize the potential for innovative and accurate solutions generated by crowds. In contrast, Option 2, Option 3, and Option 4 either encourage uniformity, offer singular leadership which may lead to authority biases, or suggest a large uniform group, all of which would be counterproductive to the wisdom of the crowd.

To reduce the impact of groupthink, strategies include seeking outside opinions, voting in private, and the leader withholding their position until all have spoken, which all ensure a breadth of inputs and prevent the build-up of conformity pressure. Group polarization, on the other hand, can lead to more extreme decisions which might be avoided with a diverse crowd. Size can impact group dynamics by increasing the potential for diversity, but if not managed well, it can also increase transaction costs associated with coordinating numerous inputs.

User Safi Habhab
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