We need to poll at least 646 students to estimate the proportion (p) of students in favor of changing from a quarter system to a semester system with a 9% margin of error and a 99% confidence interval.
To estimate the proportion (p) of students in favor of changing from a quarter system to a semester system with a 9% margin of error and a 99% confidence interval, we can use the formula:
![[n = (z^2 p(1-p))/(E^2)]](https://img.qammunity.org/2024/formulas/mathematics/college/s59pbzl6l7hrlet5h52engwn7jzu2woy07.png)
where (n) is the sample size, (z) is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level (99% in this case), (p) is the estimated proportion of students in favor of changing to a semester system (unknown), and (E) is the margin of error (0.09 in this case).
To find the value of (z), we can use a standard normal distribution table or a calculator to find the z-score corresponding to a 99% confidence level, which is approximately 2.576.
Substituting the given values into the formula, we get:
![[n = ((2.576)^2 p(1-p))/((0.09)^2)]](https://img.qammunity.org/2024/formulas/mathematics/college/om47lxown9c8jmlbn4h6l5u2k1s2wu2zsi.png)
We do not know the value of (p), so we can use a conservative estimate of (p = 0.5) to get the maximum sample size. Substituting this value, we get:
![[n = ((2.576)^2 (0.5)(1-0.5))/((0.09)^2)]](https://img.qammunity.org/2024/formulas/mathematics/college/d7jz6g74n9igoyd8nbstbt7xosc2frvtrw.png)
Simplifying, we get:
![[n \approx 645.9]](https://img.qammunity.org/2024/formulas/mathematics/college/dzp2l4g7epopy3brrpqej1xfqpk6hbgg3o.png)
Rounding up to the nearest whole number, we get:
[n = 646]
Therefore, we need to poll at least 646 students to estimate the proportion (p) of students in favor of changing from a quarter system to a semester system with a 9% margin of error and a 99% confidence interval.