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Which of the following is not a fundamental source of uncertainty that affects the policy persccriptions from climate economists' integrated assessment models?

a. how to incorporate the productive capacity of the economy.
b. the true value of the climate sensitivity parameter.
c. the choice of the discount rate.
d. the nature and impact of technological change.

1 Answer

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Final answer:

The productive capacity of the economy is not a fundamental source of uncertainty in climate economists' integrated assessment models; the climate sensitivity parameter, choice of the discount rate, and nature of technological change are known uncertainties.

Step-by-step explanation:

Uncertainty in Climate Economic Models

The option that is not a fundamental source of uncertainty which affects the policy prescriptions from climate economists' integrated assessment models is 'how to incorporate the productive capacity of the economy'. This choice is generally a given parameter within economic models rather than a source of uncertainty. On the other hand, climate sensitivity parameter, choice of the discount rate, and nature and impact of technological change are all well-known sources of uncertainty in these models.

Climate sensitivity parameter represents the degree to which the climate system responds to a change in greenhouse gas concentrations, and this is uncertain because it is difficult to predict exactly how the climate system will react. The choice of the discount rate affects how future costs and benefits are valued in the present, reflecting an inherent uncertainty about the value of future outcomes versus present ones. The nature and impact of technological change are uncertain, as it is challenging to predict the developments in technology that may mitigate or exacerbate climate change impacts.

Considering the environmental impact on economic growth and the sustainability of small farms, which are important for both food production and socio-economic development, it becomes clear that accurate modeling and policy decisions must carefully account for these uncertainties.

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