173k views
0 votes
A pair of fair dice is rolled once. suppose that you lose ​$10 if the dice sum to 9 and win ​$15 if the dice sum to 4 or 8 . how much should you win or lose if any other number turns up in order for the game to be​ fair?

User Innisfree
by
8.1k points

1 Answer

3 votes

Final answer:

To make the dice game fair, we solve for the win/lose amount for other sums by setting the expected value to zero and accounting for the probabilities and payouts of rolling sums 9, 4, and 8.

Step-by-step explanation:

To establish a game as fair, we need to calculate the expected value for a player and make sure it is zero. Here, we have a pair of fair dice and different outcomes lead to different monetary results. The student is asking to determine the win/lose amount for other sums to maintain a fair game.

First, we should calculate the probabilities of winning or losing. For a dice sum of 9, there are 4 outcomes: (3,6), (4,5), (5,4), and (6,3). There are 36 possible outcomes when two dice are rolled, so the probability of getting a sum of 9 is 4/36 or 1/9.

Similarly, the sums of 4 or 8 each have three possible outcomes: (1,3), (2,2), (3,1) for a sum of 4 and (2,6), (3,5), (5,3), (6,2) for a sum of 8. Therefore, the probability of getting either 4 or 8 is 3/36 + 3/36 which simplifies to 1/6.

To calculate the expected value (EV), we multiply each outcome's probability by its respective monetary value and sum those products for all outcomes. Using EV for expectation, p for probability, and v for value:

EV = p(sum to 9) * v(lose $10) + p(sum to 4 or 8) * v(win $15) + p(other sums) * v(win/lose amount).

To find the win/lose amount for the other sums, we set the EV to zero since it's a fair game:

0 = (1/9)*(-$10) + (1/6)*$15 + p(other sums) * v(win/lose amount)

We know that p(other sums) is the remainder of the probabilities, which is 1 - (1/9) - (1/6), and v(win/lose amount) is the amount we're solving for.

Let's solve for v(win/lose amount):

v(win/lose amount) = -[ (1/9)*(-$10) + (1/6)*$15 ] / [1 - (1/9) - (1/6)]

Plugging in the numbers, we can calculate the fair win/lose amount for other sums to ensure the game's fairness. Remember that a positive value for v(win/lose amount) indicates a win, while a negative value indicates a loss for the player.

User Harsh Mishra
by
8.2k points

No related questions found

Welcome to QAmmunity.org, where you can ask questions and receive answers from other members of our community.