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A gambler decides to keep betting on red at roulette, and stop assoon as she has won a total of five bets.

a) what is the probability that she has to make exactly 8 betsbefore stopping?
b) what is the probability that she has to make at least 9 bets?

1 Answer

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Final answer:

The probability questions on roulette betting can be solved using the binomial distribution formula. For exactly 8 bets to achieve 5 wins, the associated probability involves a combination of wins and losses in those bets. For at least 9 bets, the probability is obtained by subtracting the cumulative probability of stopping within 8 bets from 1.

Step-by-step explanation:

Probability of Winning Roulette Bets

To answer these questions, we need to use concepts from probability, particularly the binomial probability formula which is given by P(X = k) = (n choose k) · p^k · (1-p)^(n-k), where n is the number of trials, k is the number of desired success, p is the probability of success on a single trial, and (1-p) is the probability of failure.

a) The probability that the gambler needs to make exactly 8 bets to win 5 times can be found by considering that the gambler wins 4 times and loses 3 times in the first 7 bets and wins the 8th bet. Using the formula:

P(X = 5) = (7 choose 4) · (18/37)^4 · (19/37)^3 · (18/37)

b) To calculate the probability of requiring at least 9 bets, we subtract the probability of stopping within 8 bets from 1:

P(X ≥ 9) = 1 - P(X ≤ 8)
where P(X ≤ 8) is the sum of probabilities of stopping at each of the number of 5 wins from 5 to 8 bets.

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