Final answer:
The allele frequency changes in marine snails after a toxic algae bloom can be explained by migration, selection, and genetic drift as the main evolutionary mechanisms. Migration brought new alleles from the splash zone to the intertidal zone, selection favored different alleles over time, and genetic drift caused random changes in allele frequencies.
Step-by-step explanation:
The study of Kerstin Johannesson and colleagues on marine snails and the allele frequencies of aspartate aminotransferase provides a practical example of evolutionary mechanisms at work. These mechanisms are selection, mutation, migration, and genetic drift.
a. The frequency of the Aat120 allele was higher in 1990 compared to 1987 likely due to migration. After the toxic algae bloom that killed the snails in the intertidal zone, the surviving snails from the splash zone recolonized the area, bringing their allele frequencies with them.
b. The allele frequency decline from 1990 through 1993 can be attributed to selection. The new environment of the intertidal zone may have favored different alleles over the Aat120 allele that was initially brought in by the splash zone snails.
c. The curves traced by the 1990-1993 data for the two populations are generally similar but not identical due to genetic drift and possibly some local selection. Each population is subject to its own random changes in allele frequencies and unique environmental pressures.
d. Predicting what would happen to the allele frequencies over another 100 years without further algal blooms involves selection and genetic drift. It would be expected that the allele frequencies would stabilize to reflect the alleles that confer an advantage in the local environment, with some variation introduced by random changes over time.