Final answer:
The initial population of horses was not in linkage equilibrium since ER and er combinations were missing, causing a non-zero coefficient of linkage disequilibrium (D). The chestnut allele's frequency would likely remain stable without selection, but genetic drift could affect it in smaller populations. Predicting current phenotypes on the island requires more data.
Step-by-step explanation:
In considering the genetics of the horse population established on the island, we can address each question with some genetics concepts. Linkage disequilibrium (D) quantifies the non-random association of alleles at different loci. In the initial population of 20 chestnut roan (eeRr) and 20 nonroan homozygous black (EErr) horses, D was not zero because the combination of E and R alleles (ER and er) is missing and the population is not in linkage equilibrium. This is because only two of the four possible gametic combinations are present.
The frequency of the chestnut allele (e) was expected to remain stable in the absence of selection. However, if the founding population had been just 10 horses, genetic drift could have had a more pronounced effect, possibly changing the allele’s frequency by chance alone.
It's challenging to predict what D would be now without further information about reproductive success rates, mating patterns, or additional genetic events in the horse population. Likewise, we need more data to predict the current population's phenotypic ratios of roan versus non-roan and chestnut versus black horses.