104k views
3 votes
Suppose your favorite celebrity posts an average of 2.2 messages per day on a particular social media website. Find the probability that she does not post any messages for any random day. (Round your answer to three decimal places.)

User Ashirvad
by
8.2k points

1 Answer

4 votes

Final answer:

The probability that the celebrity posts no messages on any random day is approximately 0.111, calculated using the Poisson distribution formula with λ equal to 2.2.

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the probability that a celebrity posts no messages on a social media site, given that their average number of posts per day is 2.2, we can model this with a Poisson distribution. In a Poisson distribution, the probability of observing exactly k events in a given interval is given by:

P(X=k) = (λ^k * e^-λ) / k!

Where λ is the average number of events (in our case, messages per day), k is the number of events we want to find the probability for, and e is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).

For this question, we want to find the probability of k = 0 events, so our formula simplifies to:

P(X=0) = (2.2^0 * e^-2.2) / 0!

Which simplifies to:

P(X=0) = (1 * e^-2.2) / 1

P(X=0) = e^-2.2

P(X=0) ≈ 0.1108 (rounded to four decimal places)

Therefore, the probability that the celebrity does not post any messages on any random day is approximately 0.111 (rounded to three decimal places).

User Killzone Kid
by
7.9k points