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Many central banks are considering to normalize their monetary policies by tapering QE program and raising interest rates. But the recent incident of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine increases the fear of stagflation. What would you suggest to overcome this complicated situation? Explain why.

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Final answer:

Central banks addressing stagflation in times of geopolitical uncertainty should balance between tapering QE, raising interest rates, and monitoring asset prices and leverage cycles. A nuanced approach, perhaps with a Keynesian influence, may be necessary to navigate the combined challenges of inflation and economic stagnation without exacerbating either.

Step-by-step explanation:

The issue of stagflation, which is characterized by high inflation and stagnant economic growth, is exacerbated by geopolitical tensions such as Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In response, central banks might need to carefully calibrate their monetary policies. Traditional approaches to combating inflation, such as tapering quantitative easing (QE) programs and raising interest rates, may address inflation but could further dampen economic growth. Alternatively, a Keynesian economist during periods of rampant inflation might suggest a stabilization policy involving higher taxes and higher interest rates to curb spending and slow inflation.

However, the risk of exacerbating a stagnation makes this approach challenging. It's vital that central banks also consider the impact of their policies on asset prices and leverage cycles. This could potentially involve more nuanced measures that seek to stabilize these factors without unduly inhibiting economic growth. As such, a mixed approach may be necessary, where central banks not only aim to control inflation but also provide conditions conducive to economic recovery.

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