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Required information Skip to question A die (six faces) has the number 1 painted on two of its faces, the number 2 painted on three of its faces, and the number 3 painted on one of its faces. Assume that each face is equally likely to come up. If the die were loaded so that the face with the 3 on it were twice as likely to come up as each of the other five faces, would this change the value of P(odd number)

User Rabin
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Answer:

The change to the face 3 affects the value of P(Odd Number)

Explanation:

Analysing the question one statement at a time.

Before the face with 3 is loaded to be twice likely to come up.

The sample space is:


S = \{1,1,2,2,2,3\}

And the probability of each is:


P(1) = (n(1))/(n(s))


P(1) = (2)/(6)


P(1) = (1)/(3)


P(2) = (n(2))/(n(s))


P(2) = (3)/(6)


P(2) = (1)/(2)


P(3) = (n(3))/(n(s))


P(3) = (1)/(6)

P(Odd Number) is then calculated as:


P(Odd\ Number) = P(1) + P(3)


P(Odd\ Number) = (1)/(3) + (1)/(6)

Take LCM


P(Odd\ Number) = (2+1)/(6)


P(Odd\ Number) = (3)/(6)


P(Odd\ Number) = (1)/(2)

After the face with 3 is loaded to be twice likely to come up.

The sample space becomes:


S = \{1,1,2,2,2,3,3\}

The probability of each is:


P(1) = (n(1))/(n(s))


P(1) = (2)/(7)


P(2) = (n(2))/(n(s))


P(2) = (3)/(7)


P(3) = (n(3))/(n(s))


P(3) = (1)/(7)


P(Odd\ Number) = P(1) + P(3)


P(Odd\ Number) = (2)/(7) + (1)/(7)

Take LCM


P(Odd\ Number) = (2+1)/(7)


P(Odd\ Number) = (3)/(7)

Comparing P(Odd Number) before and after


P(Odd\ Number) = (1)/(2) --- Before


P(Odd\ Number) = (3)/(7) --- After

We can conclude that the change to the face 3 affects the value of P(Odd Number)

User Praveen George
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