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A poll is taken in which 335 out of 500 randomly selected voters indicated their preference for a certain candidate.

(a) Find a 98% confidence interval for p.

(b) Without doing any calculations, indicate whether an 80% confidence interval is smaller or larger.
A. smaller
B. larger
C. same

1 Answer

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Final answer:

To find a 98% confidence interval for the proportion, use the formula CI = p +- Z/2 √((p(1-p))/n). For part (b), an 80% confidence interval is smaller than a 98% confidence interval.

Step-by-step explanation:

To find a 98% confidence interval for the proportion, we can use the formula:

CI = p ± Zα/2 √((p(1-p))/n),

where CI is the confidence interval, p is the proportion of voters who indicated a preference for the candidate, Zα/2 is the critical value corresponding to the desired confidence level, and n is the sample size.

Substituting the given values, we have:

CI = (335/500) ± Zα/2 √((335/500)(165/500)/500),

Using a Zα/2 value for a 98% confidence level, which is approximately 2.33, we can calculate:

CI = (0.67) ± (2.33) √((0.67)(0.33)/500),

Calculating the values inside the square root and simplifying, we get:

CI = (0.67) ± 0.045,

Therefore, the 98% confidence interval for p is approximately (0.625, 0.715).

For part (b), without doing any calculations, we can determine that an 80% confidence interval will be smaller than a 98% confidence interval. This is because as the confidence level decreases, the critical value Zα/2 becomes smaller, resulting in a narrower confidence interval.

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