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Suppose Canadian home-owners owe an average of $184,000 on their mortgages. Assume that mortgage debt is normally distributed in Canada with a standard deviation of $92,000.

Standard Normal Distribution Table

a. Albertans are reported to owe $246,400 in mortgage debt, much higher than the Canadian average. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt that exceeds $246,400?

Round to four decimal places if necessary

b. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt below $94,000?

Round to four decimal places if necessary

c. Determine the minimum mortgage debt owing by the 23% of Canadians with the largest mortgages.

Round to the nearest dollar

User Tregoreg
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Final answer:

To address the mortgage-related probabilities, z-scores are calculated based on the given mean and standard deviation followed by referencing the standard normal distribution table; to find the amount owed by the top 23%, the z-score for the 77th percentile is utilized to derive the minimum mortgage debt.

Step-by-step explanation:

To find the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with a mortgage debt that exceeds $246,400, we need to calculate the z-score and then use a standard normal distribution table.

Calculation for Part a:

Z= (X - μ) / σ

Where Z is the z-score, X is the value of interest ($246,400), μ is the mean average debt ($184,000), and σ is the standard deviation ($92,000).

Z= ($246,400 - $184,000) / $92,000

Z= $62,400 / $92,000

Z= 0.6783

Looking up the z-score of 0.6783 in the standard normal distribution table, we find the area to the left of Z is approximately 0.7517. Hence, the probability of a Canadian owing more than $246,400 is 1 - 0.7517 = 0.2483 or 24.83%.

Calculation for Part b:

Similarly, to find the probability of having a debt below $94,000, we calculate the z-score for $94,000.

Z= ($94,000 - $184,000) / $92,000

Z= -$90,000 / $92,000

Z= -0.9783

Using the standard normal distribution table, the area to the left of Z is approximately 0.1635. Therefore, the probability of a Canadian having debt below $94,000 is 16.35%.

Calculation for Part c:

To find the minimum mortgage debt for the top 23% of Canadians, we look for the z-score that corresponds to the 77th percentile (100% - 23%) in the standard normal distribution table, which is approximately 0.74. We then translate the z-score back into the mortgage debt value.

Z = 0.74
Mortgage Debt = Z * σ + μ

Mortgage Debt = 0.74 * $92,000 + $184,000

Mortgage Debt = $68,080 + $184,000

Mortgage Debt = $252,080

The minimum mortgage debt for the 23% of Canadians with the largest mortgages is approximately $252,080.

User Snapshoe
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