Final answer:
The smallest possible sample size needed to ensure a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of $16 is 154.
Step-by-step explanation:
To determine the smallest possible sample size needed to ensure that the probability of the mean price of a random sample of federal income tax returns being within $16 of the population mean is at least 0.95, we can use the formula for the margin of error. The margin of error is found by multiplying the critical value (Z-value) by the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. In this case, we can use the Z-value corresponding to a 95% confidence level, which is 1.96. So the formula becomes:
MARGIN OF ERROR = (Z-value) * (population standard deviation / square root of sample size)
Given that the population standard deviation is $100 and we want the margin of error to be $16, we can rearrange the formula to solve for the sample size:
sample size ≥ ((Z-value) * population standard deviation / margin of error)^2
Plugging in the values, we get:
sample size ≥ ((1.96) * 100 / 16)^2 = 153.06
Rounding up to the nearest integer, the smallest possible sample size is 154.