Final answer:
Without specific information about how probabilities correlate to rankings, we cannot determine the rank of a school with an 85% chance of winning their first game. Rankings might consider various factors beyond just win probability.
Step-by-step explanation:
To estimate the rank of a team with an 85% chance of winning their first game, we need more context on how rank is determined from such probability. If ranks are assigned based purely on the win probability, assuming there's a direct correlation and we're dealing with a simple linear model, a team with the highest probability (100%) might be ranked first. Conversely, if a team with 0% chance of winning would be ranked last, we could infer rank from the relative position of the 85% probability.
However, without a specific model or more detailed information about how ranks are assigned relative to winning probabilities, we cannot accurately determine the team's rank. It is important to note that ranking systems might also consider other factors like the number of wins, historical performance, points, and strength of schedule. If we were using a hypothetical simple scale where a 100% win probability is rank 1 and 0% is the lowest rank, then an 85% win chance could suggest a high ranking close to the top. Nevertheless, this is purely speculative. Actual ranking systems in sports are typically more complex and take multiple variables into account.