Final answer:
To determine the transaction price with a bonus dependent on completion by a certain date and a known probability, multiply the bonus amount by the probability. With a 70% chance of completing on time and a $150,000 bonus, the expected bonus is $105,000. Added to the base price of $1,000,000, the transaction price would be $1,105,000, which is not listed among the given options A, B, C, or D.
Step-by-step explanation:
The student has asked to determine the transaction price for a contract where Nair Corp. has different probabilities of completing an apartment building by certain dates, with a bonus and penalties attached to these dates. When only able to estimate completion by August 1, 2026, with a 70% probability and the bonus is $150,000, we apply the expected value to estimate the transaction price:
- Probability of completion on time: 70% x $150,000 = $105,000
- Probability of missing the deadline: 30% x $0 (no bonus if not completed by August 1) = $0
- The transaction price would thus include the expected bonus: $1,000,000 (base price) + $105,000 (expected bonus) = $1,105,000
However, none of the options given (A, B, C, D) include this value, indicating either a mistake in the given options or a misunderstanding of the question. Therefore, none of the provided answers (A) $700,000, (B) $800,000, (C) $900,000, or (D) $1,000,000, matches the calculated transaction price of $1,105,000.