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Do the predictive values of a test vary depending on the population in which the test is used? (i.e., are the predictive values fixed characteristics of a test?)

User Lolski
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Final answer:

The predictive values of a test can vary depending on the population in which the test is used. They are influenced by the prevalence of the condition being tested for in the population.

Step-by-step explanation:

The predictive values of a test can vary depending on the population in which the test is used. The predictive values are not fixed characteristics of a test. They are influenced by the prevalence of the condition being tested for in the population.

For example, let's say there is a medical test for a rare disease that occurs in only 1% of the population. If this test has a 95% sensitivity (correctly identifies 95% of true positive cases) and a 95% specificity (correctly identifies 95% of true negative cases), then the positive predictive value (the probability that a positive test result indicates the presence of the disease) would be low, around 5%. However, if the same test is used in a population where the disease is more prevalent, say 10%, then the positive predictive value would be higher, around 47%.

So, it's important to consider the predictive values of a test in relation to the specific population in which it is being used.

User Greg Petr
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