To value a put option on an asset using a binomial tree model, one must use up and down factors to build the tree, calculate the option's value at each node, and discount these values to the present using the risk-free rate. This valuation becomes complex when the exercise price can change, as in the described case where it adjusts based on the asset's price at month 6.
The valuation of a one-year put option with a changing exercise price using a binomial tree model involves a step-by-step approach. The asset current price is 40 pesos, with an exercise price of 40 pesos, modifying to 35 pesos if the asset's price is below this threshold at month 6. With a risk-free interest rate of 5% per year and a volatility of 35%, a 2-period and a 4-period binomial tree are used to value the option.
For a 2-period binomial tree:
- Calculate the up and down factors using the volatility (u, d).
- Build the binomial tree, pricing the asset at the end of each period.
- Calculate the value of the option at each node based on the exercise price.
- Discount the option value back to the present using the risk-free rate.
For a 4-period binomial tree, repeat the steps but with additional periods to accommodate more precise estimations.
Valuing this option is difficult because the exercise price can change during the life of the option, adding complexity to the model.