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If last year (July 28, 2021) a European exporter had entered into a forward contract to sell 10,000 Euros today (July 28, 2022), Are they better or worse off having entered this forward contract? Explain.

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Final answer:

Whether a European exporter is better or worse off with a forward contract to sell 10,000 Euros depends on the exchange rate movement. The forward contract protects against currency depreciation but can lead to missed gains if the currency appreciates. Hedging via such contracts is a common practice to manage currency risk.

Step-by-step explanation:

If a European exporter entered into a forward contract to sell 10,000 Euros on a future date, their financial outcome would depend on the exchange rate fluctuation between the time the contract was made and the maturity date of the contract. For example, if the value of the euro against the U.S. dollar increased after the contract was signed, the exporter might regret locking in the earlier lower rate as they could have received more dollars for their euros on the open market. Conversely, if the euro depreciated against the U.S. dollar, the exporter would benefit from the forward contract as it would protect them from the decline in the euro's value, ensuring they receive the dollar amount they anticipated when the deal was made.

This scenario is similar to the experiences of firms that engage in international trade and aim to protect themselves against currency risk. A hedging strategy, such as forward contracts, can secure a fixed exchange rate in the future and provide certainty for financial planning, but there is always a trade-off in terms of opportunity cost—it could result in a loss if the currency's value moves favorably after the contract is signed.

The decision to use hedging instruments is a crucial part of managing currency risk in international business. Financial institutions and brokerage companies often facilitate these transactions by providing hedging services that guarantee an exchange rate at a future date, for a fee or spread, safeguarding against adverse movements in exchange rates.

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