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A stock has a standard deviation of daily returns of 1 percent. It wants to determine the lower boundary of its probability distribution of returns, based on 1.65 standard deviations from the expected outcome. The stock's expected daily return is .2 percent. The lower boundary is

User SilentCry
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Final answer:

The lower boundary of the stock's return distribution is calculated by subtracting 1.65 times the standard deviation from the expected daily return, resulting in a lower boundary of -1.45%.

Step-by-step explanation:

The lower boundary of the probability distribution of returns, based on 1.65 standard deviations from the expected outcome for a stock with an expected daily return of .2 percent and a standard deviation of daily returns of 1 percent, can be calculated using the concept of standard deviation and the expected return.
The lower boundary of the stock's return = Expected return - (Standard deviation × number of standard deviations) = 0.002 - (0.01 × 1.65) = 0.002 - 0.0165 = -0.0145 or -1.45%.

To calculate this, you subtract 1.65 times the standard deviation of the daily return from the mean or expected daily return. This gives you the lower boundary which means there's a small probability of the stock returning a value below this threshold.

User Davy Karlsson
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