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If U.S. inflation suddenly increased while European inflation stayed the same, what would happen to the euro/dollar exchange rate? What should a US company that sells its products in Europe do to hedge its exposure? Provide at least 2 methods.

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Final answer:

If U.S. inflation increases while European inflation stays the same, the euro/dollar exchange rate is likely to be affected, with the euro appreciating against the dollar. A U.S. company selling products in Europe can hedge its exposure to exchange rate risk by using forward contracts or currency options.

Step-by-step explanation:

When the U.S. inflation suddenly increases while European inflation stays the same, the euro/dollar exchange rate is likely to be affected. In this scenario, the demand for the euro will increase as the euro becomes more attractive due to lower inflation compared to the dollar. At the same time, the supply of dollars will increase as U.S. inflation rises, making the dollar less attractive. These changes in demand and supply will cause the euro to appreciate against the dollar, resulting in a higher exchange rate.

If a U.S. company sells its products in Europe and wants to hedge its exposure to exchange rate risk, it can use two methods:

  1. Forward contracts: The company can enter into forward contracts with a financial institution to lock in a specific exchange rate for future transactions. This helps the company mitigate the risk of exchange rate fluctuations.
  2. Currency options: The company can also use currency options to protect against adverse exchange rate movements. By purchasing currency options, the company has the right but not the obligation to exchange currencies at a predetermined rate within a specified period of time. This provides flexibility and limits potential losses.

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