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Christopher has collected data to find that the total snowfall per year in Laytonville has a normal distribution. What is the probability that in a randomly selected year, the snowfall was greater than 53 inches if the mean (μ) is 92 inches and the standard deviation (σ) is 13 inches? Use the empirical rule.

User Evin
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Final answer:

The probability that the snowfall was greater than 53 inches in Laytonville is greater than 99.7%, as calculated using the empirical rule and the z-score which is -3 standard deviations below the mean.

Step-by-step explanation:

To calculate the probability that in a randomly selected year the snowfall was greater than 53 inches in Laytonville, we can use the empirical rule and the given data of a mean of 92 inches and a standard deviation of 13 inches. Because we want the probability for more than 53 inches, we'll need to find the z-score for 53 inches and then use the standard normal distribution to find the probability that the value is beyond this z-score.

First, we calculate the z-score:

  • Z = (X - μ) / σ
  • Z = (53 - 92) / 13
  • Z = -39 / 13
  • Z = -3

μ (mu) is the mean, σ (sigma) is the standard deviation, and X is the value we are checking, which in this case, is 53.

According to the empirical rule:

  • Approximately 68% of the data falls within 1 standard deviation of the mean.
  • Approximately 95% falls within 2 standard deviations.
  • Approximately 99.7% falls within 3 standard deviations.

Since a z-score of -3 indicates that we are 3 standard deviations below the mean, and the empirical rule tells us that about 99.7% of the data falls within 3 standard deviations, this means that more than 99.7% of the data is greater than 53 inches of snowfall.

Therefore, the probability that the snowfall in a year is greater than 53 inches is very high, specifically, greater than 0.997 or 99.7%.

User Dan Rowlands
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