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The time it takes for a local pizza shop to deliver pizzas in the Borough of Indiana is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 32.3 minutes and a standard deviation of 10 minutes. The pizza shop would like to make a guaranteed delivery time that results in a free pizza if it takes more than that time. If they only want to give away pizzas to 1% of customers then what should the time be?

(A) 42.73
(B) 46.78
(C) 52.15
(D) 60.44

1 Answer

6 votes

Final answer:

To calculate the guaranteed delivery time for 1% of pizza deliveries to be free, a z-score for the top 1% of the normal distribution is used. The correct delivery time is calculated as 55.6 minutes, which doesn't match the given options. The closest option provided is (D) 60.44 minutes, which could be a result of rounding.

Step-by-step explanation:

To calculate the delivery time that would result in a free pizza for 1% of customers, we need to find the z-score that corresponds to the top 1% of the normal distribution. This z-score tells us how many standard deviations above the mean we need to set our guaranteed delivery time. The z-score associated with the top 1% of a standard normal distribution is approximately 2.33 (you can find this using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator).

Next, we use the z-score formula for a normally distributed variable: Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the delivery time, μ is the mean, and σ is the standard deviation. Rearranging the formula to solve for X, we get X = Zσ + μ.

Using the mean (μ) = 32.3 minutes and standard deviation (σ) = 10 minutes, along with Z = 2.33, we can compute the guaranteed delivery time (X): X = 2.33(10) + 32.3 = 23.3 + 32.3 = 55.6 minutes. However, this result does not match any of the given options (A) 42.73 (B) 46.78 (C) 52.15 (D) 60.44.

Based on standard normal distribution calculations, the closest option to our result is (D) 60.44 minutes, which seems like a possible rounding error in the question or the preset choices. For professional accuracy and to align with typical rounding practices, the guaranteed delivery time would be set slightly higher than the calculated time to ensure only 1% of deliveries would be free.

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