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As mentioned in lecture, these numbers may very well be different from reality (much more so than other numbers presented in class thus far). Why is this? Why is it so hard to quantify how much petroleum is left and how much we are using as consumers?

User Zhazha
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Final answer:

The difficulty in quantifying remaining petroleum reserves and consumption rates is due to the need to make estimates in the face of uncertain future discoveries, changes in consumption patterns, technological advances, and geopolitical considerations.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question touches upon the difficulties in quantifying the remaining global petroleum reserves and the rate of consumption by consumers. One significant issue is that most homework and test problems provide exact numbers, which is not usually the case in the real world where we must rely on estimates and approximations. Quantifying remaining petroleum resources is particularly challenging due to the complexity of the factors involved, including the finite nature of fossil fuels, the variable rate of new discoveries, the changing rates of consumption, and technological advances in extraction.

Specifically, quantifiable assessments of petroleum reserves can be problematic because they involve predicting future discoveries, consumption patterns, and technological advancements. The mention of the R/P ratio, which stands for Reserves to Production ratio, underscores this issue. It may overestimate the amount of time before a resource runs out if the rate of production continues to increase. Moreover, as petroleum extraction becomes more difficult over time, this will affect the supply rate relative to demand, potentially becoming a limiting factor before the R/P ratio suggests depletion.

Moreover, the textbook implies geopolitical considerations, as illustrated by historical data showing that countries such as the U.S. have consumed disproportionate amounts of global resources. Understanding the finite nature of these resources and our consumption patterns can influence global politics and individual consumerism.

User Krasnoff
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