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how did historians arrive at the estimate that there might be over $1 billion of accumulated treasure on Cocos Island?

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Final answer:

Historians estimate over $1 billion of treasure on Cocos Island due to historical records, shipwrecks, trading routes and expeditions, and archaeological findings.

Step-by-step explanation:

Historians have estimated the presence of over $1 billion of accumulated treasure on Cocos Island based on historical records and evidence of past trading routes and expeditions. Tales of hidden treasure troves, combined with the historical knowledge that the Spanish operated treasure fleets laden with silver and other valuable goods, fuel the idea that vast fortunes could be secreted away. The historical records of Spanish galleons carrying wealth from the New World to Spain, coupled with findings from shipwrecks and confirmed caches, contribute to the possibility of a massive undiscovered treasure. Additionally, archaeological discoveries such as the excavation of the Byzantine Serçe Limanı Shipwreck and underwater archaeological explorations bolster the belief that there could be significant undiscovered wealth on Cocos Island.

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