Final answer:
For establishing the minimum sample size needed for estimating a population proportion with 95% confidence and a 5% margin of error, without prior knowledge, we round up the calculated sample size of 384.16 to 385. With an estimated population proportion of 0.2 from a prior study, the minimum required sample size calculated is smaller, rounded up to 246.
Step-by-step explanation:
To answer this question, we calculate the minimum sample size necessary for estimating a population proportion with a given level of confidence and margin of error using the formula for sample size in estimating proportions:
n = (Z² * p * (1-p)) / E²
Where:
- Z is the Z-score associated with the desired level of confidence
- p is the estimated population proportion (or 0.5 if no prior estimate is available)
- E is the desired margin of error
(a) Without prior information, we use p = 0.5 for maximum variability. With a 95% confidence level, the Z-score is approximately 1.96. The desired margin of error (E) is 0.05. Plugging these values into the formula, we get:
n = (1.96² * 0.5 * (1-0.5)) / 0.05²
n = 384.16
Therefore, a minimum sample size of 385 is needed (since we always round up to the next whole number in sample size calculations).
(b) Using a prior study with p = 0.2, we get:
n = (1.96² * 0.2 * (1-0.2)) / 0.05²
n = 245.86
So, a minimum sample size of 246 is needed.
(c) Comparing the results, we can conclude that:
Having an estimate of the population proportion reduces the minimum sample size needed.