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Imagine a small island of 500 individuals with a carrying capacity of 3,000. At the end of the current year, the growth rate (r) is 0.2. How many new individuals are expected to be added to the population during the following time frames if logistic growth is taking place? Please also indicate what the new population size will be within this community at the end of each time period.

User Dr Jimbob
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Final answer:

Using the logistic growth equation, approximately 83 new individuals will be added to the population in one year, resulting in a new population size of 583 individuals.

Step-by-step explanation:

The question concerns the concept of logistic growth in a population of organisms, and how to calculate the expected growth over time given the growth rate (r) and the carrying capacity (K). The carrying capacity is the maximum population size an environment can sustain given the available resources. In this scenario with a population of 500 individuals, a carrying capacity of 3000, and a growth rate of 0.2, we expect to see growth that adheres to the logistic model.



The logistic growth equation can be represented as:



Population growth = rN(K-N)/K



Where:

  • r is the growth rate
  • N is the current population size
  • K is the carrying capacity of the environment
  • K-N indicates the remaining population capacity



To calculate the number of new individuals added in one year, we plug the values into the logistic growth equation:



Population growth = 0.2 × 500 × (3000 - 500) / 3000



Population growth = 0.2 × 500 × 2500 / 3000



Population growth = 100 × 2500 / 3000



Population growth = 250,000 / 3000



Population growth = approximately 83 new individuals



So at the end of one year, the population will increase by approximately 83 individuals. Thus, the new population size after one year would be:



New population size = Initial population + Population growth



New population size = 500 + 83



New population size = 583 individuals



Since the student hasn't specified other time frames, we have calculated the growth for one year only. Note that as the population grows closer to the carrying capacity, the number of new individuals added each year according to the logistic model will decrease.

User Peter Trenery
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