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if the european slump also leads to a slowdown of the other economies that import goods from the united states, the effect could be larger. to put a bound to the size of the effect, assume that us exports decrease by 5% (as a result of changes in foreign output) in one year. what is the effect of a 5% drop in exports on us gdp?

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Final answer:

A 5% drop in US exports would lead to a decrease in GDP, potentially affecting the US trade balance and employment. The extent of the impact depends on the role of exports in the economy and could be influenced by exchange rate fluctuations. International market dynamics have the power to impact even large economies like that of the US.

Step-by-step explanation:

The effect of a 5% drop in exports on the US GDP would depend on the overall size of exports within the economy. The United States' economy includes net exports as a component of GDP; therefore, a reduction in exports would directly decrease GDP. If exports constitute a significant part of the economy, a 5% reduction could lead to a proportionate decrease in economic output. Furthermore, a slump in European economies can lead to a decrease in demand for US goods and services, thus affecting trade balance and potentially impacting employment and investment in export-related industries.

When considering international economic interactions, it's also important to acknowledge that exchange rate fluctuations could alter the effects. For instance, a weaker US dollar could partially mitigate the decline in export demand by making US goods cheaper on the international market, potentially stimulating demand elsewhere.

Finally, changes in one economic sector can lead to shifts in resource allocation, with effects rippling through other sectors. If an industry reliant on exports suffers, the loss could be felt in associated industries and by the workers employed within them. These sorts of pressures demonstrate that even the large US economy is not entirely immune to international market dynamics.

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