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Cal's Coffee prints prize coupons under the rims of 20% of its paper cups. If you buy ten cups of coffee,

a) what is the probability that you would win at least seven prizes?
b) what is your expected number of prizes?

1 Answer

2 votes

Answer:

A.) P(X ≥ 7) = 1 - 0.9991356416 = **0.0008643584**
B.) E(X) = 10 * 0.2 = 2 prizes

Explanation:

a) Probability of winning at least seven prizes

This can be calculated using the binomial distribution formula:

P(X ≥ 7) = 1 - P(X ≤ 6)

where:

X is the number of prizes won

P(X ≥ 7) is the probability of winning at least seven prizes

P(X ≤ 6) is the probability of winning six or fewer prizes

The probability of winning a prize on each cup is 0.2, and the probability of not winning a prize is 0.8. We can use these values to calculate the probability of winning six or fewer prizes:

P(X ≤ 6) = Σ_(k=0)^(6) (10C_k) * 0.2^k * 0.8^(10-k) = 0.9991356416

Therefore, the probability of winning at least seven prizes is:

P(X ≥ 7) = 1 - 0.9991356416 = **0.0008643584**

b) Expected number of prizes

The expected number of prizes can be calculated using the following formula:

E(X) = np

where:

E(X) is the expected number of prizes

n is the number of cups of coffee purchased (10 in this case)

p is the probability of winning a prize on each cup (0.2 in this case)

Therefore, the expected number of prizes is:

E(X) = 10 * 0.2 = **2 prizes**

Therefore, the probability of winning at least seven prizes is 0.0008643584, and the expected number of prizes is 2.

User Evil Buck
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