Answer: Population projections are generally more likely to be accurate over the short term rather than the long term. Short-term projections, typically covering a period of 5-10 years, rely on current demographic data, trends, and known factors that can be reasonably estimated. These projections are based on relatively stable factors such as birth rates, death rates, and migration patterns, which can be more accurately predicted in the near future.
On the other hand, long-term projections, spanning several decades or more, become increasingly uncertain due to the inherent complexity and unpredictability of demographic dynamics. Factors such as changes in fertility rates, mortality rates, migration patterns, and socio-economic conditions can significantly impact population growth and are difficult to accurately forecast over extended periods.
While long-term projections can provide valuable insights and scenarios for planning purposes, they are subject to a higher degree of uncertainty and are more susceptible to unforeseen events, policy changes, and other external factors that can influence population trends. Therefore, it is important to interpret long-term projections with caution and regularly update them as new data becomes available.
Explanation: trust