the probability that more than 1 black ball is drawn when 3 balls are drawn without replacement from the urn is approximately 0.7133 or 71.33%.
To find the probability that more than 1 black ball is drawn when 3 balls are drawn without replacement from an urn containing 7 black balls and 10 red balls, we can use the principle of complementary probability. We'll calculate the probability of the complement event (i.e., the event where 0 or 1 black ball is drawn) and then subtract it from 1 to get the probability of more than 1 black ball being drawn.
Let's break it down step by step:
Step 1: Calculate the probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls:
- Probability of drawing a red ball on the first draw = (10 red balls) / (17 total balls) = 10/17
- Probability of drawing a red ball on the second draw (without replacement) = (9 red balls remaining) / (16 total balls remaining) = 9/16
- Probability of drawing a red ball on the third draw (without replacement) = (8 red balls remaining) / (15 total balls remaining) = 8/15
Now, multiply these probabilities together because they are independent events:
Probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls = (10/17) * (9/16) * (8/15)
Step 2: Calculate the probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls:
- Probability of drawing a black ball on the first draw = (7 black balls) / (17 total balls) = 7/17
- Probability of drawing a red ball on the second draw (without replacement) = (10 red balls) / (16 total balls remaining) = 10/16 (simplify to 5/8)
- Probability of drawing a red ball on the third draw (without replacement) = (9 red balls remaining) / (15 total balls remaining) = 9/15 (simplify to 3/5)
Now, multiply these probabilities together because they are independent events:
Probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls = (7/17) * (5/8) * (3/5)
Step 3: Calculate the complement probability (0 or 1 black ball drawn):
Add the probabilities from Step 1 and Step 2 to get the probability of drawing 0 or 1 black ball:
Complement Probability = Probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls + Probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls
Now, add the two probabilities together:
Complement Probability = [(10/17) * (9/16) * (8/15)] + [(7/17) * (5/8) * (3/5)]
Step 4: Calculate the probability of more than 1 black ball drawn (complement of the complement):
Now that we have the complement probability, subtract it from 1 to find the probability of more than 1 black ball being drawn:
Probability of more than 1 black ball drawn = 1 - Complement Probability
calculate the probabilities step by step:
Step 1: Calculate the probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls:
Probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls = (10/17) * (9/16) * (8/15)
Probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls ≈ 0.1396 (rounded to four decimal places)
Step 2: Calculate the probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls:
Probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls = (7/17) * (5/8) * (3/5)
Probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls ≈ 0.1471 (rounded to four decimal places)
Step 3: Calculate the complement probability (0 or 1 black ball drawn):
Complement Probability = Probability of drawing 0 black balls and 3 red balls + Probability of drawing 1 black ball and 2 red balls
Complement Probability ≈ 0.1396 + 0.1471 ≈ 0.2867 (rounded to four decimal places)
Step 4: Calculate the probability of more than 1 black ball drawn (complement of the complement):
Probability of more than 1 black ball drawn = 1 - Complement Probability
Probability of more than 1 black ball drawn = 1 - 0.2867 ≈ 0.7133 (rounded to four decimal places)
So, the probability that more than 1 black ball is drawn when 3 balls are drawn without replacement from the urn is approximately 0.7133 or 71.33%.