Final answer:
The change in the unemployment rate is more likely due to cyclical unemployment rather than a change in the natural rate of unemployment.
Step-by-step explanation:
The change in the unemployment rate is more likely due to cyclical unemployment rather than a change in the natural rate of unemployment. Cyclical unemployment refers to the fluctuations in unemployment rates that occur as a result of changes in the business cycle and overall economic conditions. During economic downturns, such as recessions, unemployment rates tend to increase as businesses lay off workers and reduce hiring. Conversely, during economic expansions, unemployment rates tend to decrease as businesses expand and hire more workers.