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The following data shows promotion data from firefighting department.

Promotion Status Male Female
Promoted 288 36
Not Promoted 672 204

a) What is the probability of getting promoted within the department?

b) Given that a randomly selected officer was promoted, what is the probability that the selected officer is female?

c) What is the probability of being promoted and being male?

d) What is the probability of being promoted or being female?

e) Given that a randomly selected officer was female, what is the probability that they will be promoted?

User DKean
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1 Answer

1 vote

Answer:

The probability that a promoted officer is female is 0.1111, or approximately 11.11%.


Step-by-step explanation:

We can use the given data to construct a contingency table as follows:

Male Female Total

Promoted 288 36 324

Not Promoted 672 204 876

Total 960 240 1200

a) The probability of getting promoted within the department is the proportion of officers who were promoted, which is 324/1200 = 0.27, or 27%.

b) Given that a randomly selected officer was promoted, we need to find the probability that the selected officer is female. This is a conditional probability and can be calculated using Bayes' theorem:

P(Female | Promoted) = P(Promoted | Female) * P(Female) / P(Promoted)

where P(Promoted | Female) is the probability of being promoted given that the officer is female, P(Female) is the probability of selecting a female officer, and P(Promoted) is the overall probability of being promoted.

We can calculate each of these probabilities as follows:

P(Promoted | Female) = 36/240 = 0.15

P(Female) = 240/1200 = 0.2

P(Promoted) = 324/1200 = 0.27

Substituting these values into the equation gives:

P(Female | Promoted) = 0.15 * 0.2 / 0.27 = 0.1111

So the probability that a promoted officer is female is 0.1111, or approximately 11.11%.

User Adilapapaya
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