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i draw a card from a standard $52$-card deck. if i draw an ace, i win $1$ dollar. if i draw a $2$ through $10$, i win a number of dollars equal to the value of the card. if i draw a face card (jack, queen, or king), i win $20$ dollars. if i draw a $\clubsuit$, my winnings are doubled, and if i draw a $\spadesuit$, my winnings are tripled. (for example, if i draw the $8\clubsuit$, then i win $16$ dollars.) what would be a fair price to pay to play the game? express your answer as a dollar value rounded to the nearest cent. your answer should be a number with two digits after the decimal point, like $21.43$.

User TaoZang
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1 Answer

5 votes

Final answer:

To determine the fair price to play the game, we need to calculate the expected value by assigning probabilities to each outcome and multiplying them by the corresponding winnings. The expected value is found to be -$0.62, rounded to the nearest cent. Therefore, a fair price to pay to play this game would be $0.62 or slightly more.

Step-by-step explanation:

To determine the fair price to play the game, we need to calculate the expected value. We will assign a probability to each possible outcome and multiply that by the corresponding winnings. Then we sum up these products to get the expected value.

Let's calculate the probabilities for each type of card and the corresponding winnings:

  • Probability of drawing an ace: 4/52
  • Winnings for an ace: $1
  • Probability of drawing a 2-10: 9/52
  • Winnings for a 2-10: $2-$10
  • Probability of drawing a face card: 12/52
  • Winnings for a face card: $20

We can calculate the expected value as follows:

(4/52) * $1 + (9/52) * ($2-$10) + (12/52) * $20

After evaluating this expression, we find that the expected value is -$0.62, rounded to the nearest cent. This means that if you play this game repeatedly, over a long string of games, you would expect to lose 62 cents per game, on average.

Therefore, a fair price to pay to play this game would be $0.62 or slightly more to ensure a profit for the game operator.

User Abdullah Mallik
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