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What event caused Napoleon iii to believe his invasion of mexico could be successful?

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Answer:

The answer is The U.s civil war hopefully this helps!

User RaduK
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One factor that would be problematic for European Powers in their quest for having power over Mexico was the support of the US, which had its interest in showing European countries that they should not try to intervene in America's affairs. At the time however, the US was occupied with the Civil War, so Napoleon believed that his invasion could be successful.
User Jackyesind
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