Question

would this be the correct method to answering a question that says “as a captain of his football, jamal gets to call heads or tails for the toss of a fair claim beginning of each game at the last five games, the coin has landed with heads up what is the probability that the coin will land with tails up at the next game? explain your answer”

Answer 1

We need to find the probability that the coin will land with tails up at the next game.

We know that it has landed with heads up for the last 5 games.

One way of solving it is assuming that the coin is fair, i.e., the probability that it will land with tails up is the same as with the heads each time (50% / 50%).

In this case, since the tosses are independent, the probability that it will land with tails up in the next game is 50%.

Another way of solving this problem is by considering the experimental probability, for which 5 out of 5 times the coin landed with heads up. Then, the experimental probability that it lands with the tail up at a toss is 0.

In this case, considering the experimental probability, we can say that the coin is not fair (one side weighs more than the other), and the probability that it will land with the tails up at the next game is 0.

Answer:

Considering the coin to be fair: 50%

Considering the experimental probability (the coin is not fair): 0