The probability of a 1, 2, or 3 is 3/6 = 1/2. There are C(11,4) = 11!/(4!(11-4)!) = 330 ways the desired outcome can show up in the 11 rolls. The probability is
... 330×(1/2)⁴(1/2)⁷ = 330/2048 ≈ 0.1611
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