Final answer:
The probability that a Poisson random variable X equals 2, given that its variance is 3, is approximately 0.2240.
Step-by-step explanation:
The student asks about finding the probability that a Poisson random variable X takes on a value exactly equal to 2, given that the variance of X is 3. We know for a Poisson distribution, the variance is equal to its mean, which is denoted by λ (lambda). Therefore, λ = 3.
Using the formula for the Poisson probability mass function (PMF), P(X = k) = (e^(-λ) * λ^k) / k!, we can calculate P(X = 2). Substituting λ = 3 and k = 2, we have:
P(X = 2) = (e^(-3) * 3^2) / 2! = (0.0497871 * 9) / 2 = 0.224041.
We can round this probability to four decimal places:
P(X = 2) ≈ 0.2240.